Target ROAS versus break-even ROAS
Break-even ROAS is the minimum needed to avoid losing money on the order. Target ROAS is higher: it reserves a profit per order before fixed costs. A store can be above break-even and still below its target.
The two numbers answer different questions. Break-even says “can I run this ad?” Target says “does this ad hit the profit I planned?”
The formula
Contribution before ads = AOV − product cost − fulfillment − fees. Allowable ad spend per order = contribution − target profit. Target ROAS = AOV ÷ allowable ad spend.
In margin mode, target profit = AOV × target margin. The rest of the calculation is the same. If allowable ad spend is zero or negative, the target cannot be met at any positive ROAS.
Worked example
AOV $60, product $21, fulfillment $7, fees 3% = $1.80. Contribution is $30.20. With a $12 profit target, allowable ad spend is $18.20 and target ROAS is 3.30x.
At an actual ROAS of 4.00x, ad spend per order is $15.00 and actual profit is $15.20, $3.20 above target. At 300 orders per month, the target budget is $5,460.
Profit mode and margin mode
Profit mode fixes a dollar amount per order. Margin mode fixes a percentage of AOV. A 20% margin on a $60 AOV is also $12, so the two modes produce the same target in this example.
Margin mode is easier to compare across products with different prices. Profit mode is easier to tie to a monthly profit plan.
Setting a realistic target
The target is only as good as the cost inputs. If fulfillment or payment fees are understated, the allowable ad spend is too high and the target ROAS too low. Use a fully loaded contribution, not a rough product margin.
Actual ROAS also needs the same attribution window and order economics. A platform-reported ROAS that includes returning customers or excludes returns can make the gap look better than it is.
Where the model stops
It excludes fixed costs, overhead, taxes, returns, discounts, currency conversion and incrementality. It also assumes every order has the same economics; a blended AOV can hide a product mix that loses money on some SKUs.
For the floor, use the break-even ROAS calculator. For profit at the current ROAS, use the ROAS to profit calculator. This tool is for setting the target and the budget behind it.